Macro Anomalies
2 signals · z ≥ 2σ
2 liveopen →
- ES · ecb sdw▲z 2.13
- FR · ecb sdw▲z 2.07
Cross-Validation
Avena vs official · signed Δ bps
daily 05:30 UTCopen →
- ES·national·2026-06+0 bps
- FR·national·2026-Q3+0 bps
- IT·national·2026-Q3+0 bps
- ES·coastal·2026-Q3+0 bps
- ES·coastal·2026-Q3+0 bps
ECB Mortgage Rates
Cost-of-borrowing · MIR
monthlyopen →
- ES · 2026-062.89%
- DE · 2026-063.95%
- FR · 2026-063.16%
- IT · 2026-063.54%
- EA20 · 2026-063.51%
- NL · 2026-063.71%
EU HPI · YoY
Eurostat residential
quarterlyopen →
- CY · 2026-Q1+3.3%
- DE · 2026-Q1+2.1%
- EE · 2026-Q1+5.4%
- RO · 2026-Q1+8.0%
- DE · 2026-Q1+1.4%
- HR · 2026-Q1+9.7%
Sovereign Briefings
Vol 1-4 published
research deskopen →
- Vol. 42026-05-26Portugal at +18.9%: The Algarve Foreign-Buyer Cycle and the ECB Transmission Threshold
- Vol. 32026-05-25Cross-Validating Official Statistics: The Avena Method for Ground-Truth Calibration
- Vol. 22026-05-25Foreign-Buyer Flows and the Mortgage Transmission Channel
- Vol. 12026-05-25European Residential Price Dispersion in the Post-Tightening Cycle
Avena OracleClaude Sonnet 4 · 14 tools · cited
Live context
AVENA-CC 1616.67 (-0.04%). Health 78.9 (+0.41%). 2 anomalies live. Sovereign Briefings Vol 1-4 published. Euribor 3M 2.85%.
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14
Tools
4,145
Official obs
1,881
Properties
5
Briefings