Macro Anomalies
5 signals · z ≥ 2σ
5 liveopen →
- EA20 · ecb sdw▼z -3.86
- ES · ecb sdw▼z -2.36
- FR · ecb sdw▼z -2.55
- ES · ecb sdw▲z 2.13
- FR · ecb sdw▲z 2.07
Cross-Validation
Avena vs official · signed Δ bps
daily 05:30 UTCopen →
- NL·national·2026-Q4+0 bps
- IT·national·2026-Q4+0 bps
- PT·national·2026-Q4+0 bps
- FR·national·2026-Q4+0 bps
- IT·national·2026-Q4+0 bps
ECB Mortgage Rates
Cost-of-borrowing · MIR
monthlyopen →
- ES · 2026-083.04%
- DE · 2026-084.00%
- FR · 2026-083.20%
- IT · 2026-083.58%
- EA20 · 2026-083.60%
- NL · 2026-083.91%
EU HPI · YoY
Eurostat residential
quarterlyopen →
- PT · 2026-Q2+12.3%
- PT · 2026-Q2+18.0%
- ES · 2026-Q2+12.1%
- LV · 2026-Q2+11.4%
- RO · 2026-Q2+12.1%
- SI · 2026-Q2+9.1%
Sovereign Briefings
Vol 1-4 published
research deskopen →
- Vol. 42026-05-26Portugal at +18.9%: The Algarve Foreign-Buyer Cycle and the ECB Transmission Threshold
- Vol. 32026-05-25Cross-Validating Official Statistics: The Avena Method for Ground-Truth Calibration
- Vol. 22026-05-25Foreign-Buyer Flows and the Mortgage Transmission Channel
- Vol. 12026-05-25European Residential Price Dispersion in the Post-Tightening Cycle
Avena OracleClaude Sonnet 4 · 14 tools · cited
Live context
AVENA-CC 1626.15 (+0.00%). Health 78.9 (+0.41%). 5 anomalies live. Sovereign Briefings Vol 1-4 published. Euribor 3M 2.85%.
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14
Tools
4,145
Official obs
1,881
Properties
5
Briefings