Public track record · No cherry-pickingEvery call.
Every call.
Every outcome.
Most research shops publish the hits and bury the misses. We publish both. Hit rate is computed from resolvedpredictions only — active forecasts don't count until the horizon expires.
Track record · updatedHit rate
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Resolved
0
Hits
0
Misses
0
Active
0
Sample size warning — under 10 resolved predictions, hit rate is not statistically meaningful. We publish it anyway. Transparency over optics.
Resolved predictions.
No resolved predictions yet. First horizons expire and first outcomes publish when the Nostradamus engine completes its first call-window cycle.
View active predictions →Methodology: predictions resolve when horizon expires. Outcome set by Agent Arbiter (verification engine) against source-of-truth data — ECB statistics, Eurostat, INE, Banco de España. No human override.
Full verification methodology →