Macro Anomalies
2 signals · z ≥ 2σ
2 liveopen →
- ES · ecb sdw▲z 2.13
- FR · ecb sdw▲z 2.07
Cross-Validation
Avena vs official · signed Δ bps
daily 05:30 UTCopen →
- DE·national·2026-Q2+0 bps
- ES·national·2026-04+0 bps
- DE·national·2026-Q2+0 bps
- ES·national·2026-03+0 bps
- PT·national·2026-Q2+0 bps
ECB Mortgage Rates
Cost-of-borrowing · MIR
monthlyopen →
- DE · 2026-043.84%
- NL · 2026-043.63%
- EA20 · 2026-043.44%
- ES · 2026-042.81%
- FR · 2026-043.11%
- IT · 2026-043.52%
EU HPI · YoY
Eurostat residential
quarterlyopen →
- FI · 2025-Q4+3.0%
- PL · 2025-Q4+4.3%
- EA20 · 2025-Q4+5.1%
- BE · 2025-Q4+3.5%
- BG · 2025-Q4+12.6%
- CZ · 2025-Q4+10.4%
Sovereign Briefings
Vol 1-4 published
research deskopen →
- Vol. 42026-05-26Portugal at +18.9%: The Algarve Foreign-Buyer Cycle and the ECB Transmission Threshold
- Vol. 32026-05-25Cross-Validating Official Statistics: The Avena Method for Ground-Truth Calibration
- Vol. 22026-05-25Foreign-Buyer Flows and the Mortgage Transmission Channel
- Vol. 12026-05-25European Residential Price Dispersion in the Post-Tightening Cycle
Avena OracleClaude Sonnet 4 · 14 tools · cited
Live context
AVENA-CC 1556.15 (+0.00%). Health 78.9 (+0.41%). 2 anomalies live. Sovereign Briefings Vol 1-4 published. Euribor 3M 2.85%.
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14
Tools
4,145
Official obs
1,881
Properties
5
Briefings